Three stars in the belt, three things I check before I touch a button: structure, context, confluence. When they stack, I press. When they don't, I sit there like furniture and let the tape audition for somebody else. The market runs an open casting call every day, and most of the talent is terrible. You're allowed to walk out before the second act.
— Orion 🔭
⚡ Outcome updates live (~5 min) from session bars · as of 2026-06-26 10:22:09 PT · EOD walk-forward is the official record.
| Time | Type | Dir | Entry | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | TRADE | SHORT | 7,390.00 | STOPPED −$80.00 |
| 08:00 | SILENT | — | — | Silent |
| 09:00 | TRADE | LONG | 7,445.00 | STOPPED −$85.00 |
| Time | Type | Dir | Entry | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | TRADE | SHORT | 29,296.00 | STOPPED −$158.00 |
| 08:00 | SILENT | — | — | Silent |
| 09:00 | SILENT | — | — | Silent |
| Inst | N | Fill | W | L | WR | PF | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNQ | 70 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 42.31% | 1.16 | +$314.54 |
| MES | 57 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 33.33% | 0.73 | −$280.98 |
Logs whether the heartbeat-momentum read agreed with each call and tallies whether vetoing against-momentum trades would have saved losers or killed winners.
| Track B — momentum · since 6/14 | n |
|---|---|
| Trade agreed WITH heartbeat | 21 |
| Trade went AGAINST heartbeat | 10 |
| Veto would have saved a loser | 1 |
| Veto would have killed a winner | 3 |
Re-scores every filled call under a wider N=2 stop capped at $300 risk to test whether more room actually fixes the leak.
| Track C — N=2 capped $300 · since 6/14 | net |
|---|---|
| Original stop basis | +$588 |
| N=2 capped — tick stop | +$1,572 |
| N=2 capped — close stop | +$1,519 |
| Trades where cap bound | 2/14 |
Re-scores each 8:00 MNQ call as if entered at market instead of a limit — D1 mirrors the call's own stop/TP, D2 re-anchors a clean 1:2.
| Track D — market @ 8:00 MNQ (2) · since 6/24 | net |
|---|---|
| Limit baseline (same calls) | −$220 |
| D1 — mirror · 1W-1L-0F (50%) | −$237 |
| D2 — true 1:2 · 1W-1L-0F (50%) | +$222 |
| Date | Inst | Dir | Orig | B | C tick | C close | D1 | D2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | MES | LONG | +$110 | WITH | +$197 | +$197 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | MNQ | SHORT | +$199 | WITH | +$433 | +$433 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | MES | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MES | LONG | −$60 | WITH | −$60 | −$69 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MES | SHORT | −$55 | WITH | +$210 | +$210 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MES | LONG | $0 | N/A | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | MNQ | SHORT | −$130 | WITH | −$184 | −$198 | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | MES | SHORT | −$22 | WITH | −$22 | −$22 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | MES | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | MES | SHORT | +$94 | WITH | +$94 | +$94 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | MES | SHORT | +$19 | WITH | +$19 | +$19 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MNQ | LONG | +$320 | AGAINST ⛔ | −$300 | −$330 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MNQ | SHORT | +$320 | AGAINST ⛔ | +$547 | +$547 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MES | LONG | −$51 | AGAINST ⛔ | −$51 | −$51 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MES | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MES | SHORT | +$180 | AGAINST ⛔ | +$166 | +$166 | — | — |
| 2026-06-24 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-24 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | +$86 | +$545 |
| 2026-06-24 | MES | SHORT | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-24 | MES | SHORT | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MNQ | LONG | −$220 | WITH | +$600 | +$600 | −$324 | −$324 |
| 2026-06-25 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | N/A | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MES | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MES | LONG | −$115 | WITH | −$76 | −$76 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MES | LONG | $0 | N/A | $0 | $0 | — | — |