Market's dark for the holiday, so here's the quiet truth I'd rather say when nobody's trading: we're in a real drawdown, and the reads have been right the whole way down. That's the frustrating kind — the map is good, the wheels are bad. The amateur move is to torch a system that's diagnosing itself just to feel like you did something. We're not doing that. We let the tests finish and fix the actual leak, not the one that's loudest today.
— Orion 🔭
No calls today (market closed or weekend).
| Inst | N | Fill | W | L | WR | PF | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MNQ | 82 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 34.38% | 0.77 | −$685.32 |
| MES | 69 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 29.17% | 0.60 | −$582.84 |
Logs whether the heartbeat-momentum read agreed with each call and tallies whether vetoing against-momentum trades would have saved losers or killed winners.
| Track B — momentum · since 6/14 | n |
|---|---|
| Trade agreed WITH heartbeat | 36 |
| Trade went AGAINST heartbeat | 18 |
| Veto would have saved a loser | 6 |
| Veto would have killed a winner | 3 |
Re-scores every filled call under a wider N=2 stop capped at $300 risk to test whether more room actually fixes the leak.
| Track C — N=2 capped $300 · since 6/14 | net |
|---|---|
| Original stop basis | −$710 |
| N=2 capped — tick stop | +$356 |
| N=2 capped — close stop | +$375 |
| Trades where cap bound | 7/26 |
Re-scores each 8:00 MNQ call as if entered at market instead of a limit — D1 mirrors the call's own stop/TP, D2 re-anchors a clean 1:2.
| Track D — market @ 8:00 MNQ (6) · since 6/24 | net |
|---|---|
| Limit baseline (same calls) | −$580 |
| D1 — mirror · 3W-3L-0F (50%) | −$637 |
| D2 — true 1:2 · 3W-3L-0F (50%) | +$269 |
Re-scores each 9:00 call as a market entry on BOTH instruments — the slot both the MES and MNQ retros liked best. D1 mirrors the call's stop/TP; D2 re-anchors a clean 1:2. MNQ & MES tallied separately.
| Track E — 9a market entry · since 6/29 | net |
|---|---|
| MNQ D1 (4) · 3W-1L-0F (75%) | +$121 |
| MNQ D2 · 0W-1L-3F (0%) | +$478 |
| MES D1 (3) · 2W-1L-0F (67%) | +$32 |
| MES D2 · 0W-1L-2F (0%) | −$9 |
| Date | Inst | Dir | Orig | B | C tick | C close | D1 | D2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | MES | LONG | +$110 | WITH | +$197 | +$197 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | MNQ | SHORT | +$199 | WITH | +$433 | +$433 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | MES | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MES | LONG | −$60 | WITH | −$60 | −$69 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MES | SHORT | −$55 | WITH | +$210 | +$210 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MES | LONG | $0 | N/A | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | MNQ | SHORT | −$130 | WITH | −$184 | −$198 | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | MES | SHORT | −$22 | WITH | −$22 | −$22 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | MES | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | MES | SHORT | +$94 | WITH | +$94 | +$94 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | MES | SHORT | +$19 | WITH | +$19 | +$19 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MNQ | LONG | +$320 | AGAINST ⛔ | −$300 | −$330 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MNQ | SHORT | +$320 | AGAINST ⛔ | +$547 | +$547 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MES | LONG | −$51 | AGAINST ⛔ | −$51 | −$51 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MES | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MES | SHORT | +$180 | AGAINST ⛔ | +$166 | +$166 | — | — |
| 2026-06-24 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-24 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | +$86 | +$545 |
| 2026-06-24 | MES | SHORT | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-24 | MES | SHORT | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MNQ | LONG | −$220 | WITH | +$600 | +$600 | −$324 | −$324 |
| 2026-06-25 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | N/A | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MES | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MES | LONG | −$115 | WITH | −$76 | −$76 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MES | LONG | $0 | N/A | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-26 | MNQ | SHORT | −$158 | WITH | −$300 | −$478 | — | — |
| 2026-06-26 | MES | SHORT | −$80 | WITH | −$202 | −$208 | — | — |
| 2026-06-26 | MES | LONG | −$85 | AGAINST ⛔ | −$125 | −$160 | — | — |
| 2026-06-29 | MNQ | LONG | −$240 | AGAINST ⛔ | −$300 | −$346 | — | — |
| 2026-06-29 | MNQ | SHORT | −$190 | AGAINST ⛔ | −$300 | −$356 | −$359 | −$359 |
| 2026-06-29 | MNQ | SHORT | −$100 | AGAINST ⛔ | −$300 | −$302 | — | — |
| 2026-06-29 | MES | LONG | −$100 | AGAINST ⛔ | −$238 | +$180 | — | — |
| 2026-06-29 | MES | LONG | +$120 | WITH | +$195 | +$195 | — | — |
| 2026-06-29 | MES | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-30 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-30 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | +$71 | +$275 |
| 2026-06-30 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-30 | MES | LONG | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-30 | MES | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | MNQ | SHORT | −$140 | WITH | +$328 | +$328 | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | MNQ | SHORT | −$170 | WITH | +$328 | +$328 | −$251 | −$251 |
| 2026-07-01 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | N/A | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | MES | SHORT | −$50 | WITH | −$152 | −$158 | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | MES | LONG | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-07-01 | MES | LONG | $0 | N/A | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-07-02 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-07-02 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | +$138 | +$381 |
| 2026-07-02 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-07-02 | MES | LONG | −$106 | WITH | −$151 | −$169 | — | — |
| 2026-07-02 | MES | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |