⭐ Orion Thinks
Updated: 2026-06-25 05:15 PDT
The gurus want you to believe every wiggle is a trade you're "missing." It isn't. Most of the tape is just the market talking to itself, and you are not obligated to answer. Being right and getting paid nothing beats being wrong and paying full price — ask anyone who chased. A skipped trade has never blown an account.
— Orion 🔭
🔬 Forward-Test Shadow Tracks — jackie_asks (B + C + D)
Shadow-only · not in Discord or the EOD recap · window 2026-06-14→2026-07-04 · Track B 34 call(s) logged (all calls — fill, no-fill, R13) · Track C 14 fill(s) · Track D 2 MNQ 8:00 call(s)
| Track B — momentum (shadow) | n |
|---|
| Trade agreed WITH heartbeat | 21 |
| Trade went AGAINST heartbeat | 10 |
| Veto would have saved a loser | 1 |
| Veto would have killed a winner | 3 |
| Track C — N=2 capped $300 (shadow) | net |
|---|
| Original stop basis | +$588 |
| N=2 capped — tick stop | +$1,572 |
| N=2 capped — close stop | +$1,519 |
| Trades where cap bound | 2/14 |
| Track D — market @ 8:00 MNQ (2) | net |
|---|
| Limit baseline (same calls) | −$220 |
| D1 — mirror · 1W-1L-0F (50%) | −$237 |
| D2 — true 1:2 · 1W-1L-0F (50%) | +$222 |
Per-trade detail
| Date | Inst | Dir | Orig | B | C tick | C close | D1 | D2 |
|---|
| 2026-06-15 | MES | LONG | +$110 | WITH | +$197 | +$197 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | MNQ | SHORT | +$199 | WITH | +$433 | +$433 | — | — |
| 2026-06-16 | MES | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MES | LONG | −$60 | WITH | −$60 | −$69 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MES | SHORT | −$55 | WITH | +$210 | +$210 | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | MES | LONG | $0 | N/A | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | MNQ | SHORT | −$130 | WITH | −$184 | −$198 | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-18 | MES | SHORT | −$22 | WITH | −$22 | −$22 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | MES | LONG | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | MES | SHORT | +$94 | WITH | +$94 | +$94 | — | — |
| 2026-06-22 | MES | SHORT | +$19 | WITH | +$19 | +$19 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MNQ | LONG | +$320 | AGAINST ⛔ | −$300 | −$330 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MNQ | SHORT | +$320 | AGAINST ⛔ | +$547 | +$547 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MES | LONG | −$51 | AGAINST ⛔ | −$51 | −$51 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MES | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-23 | MES | SHORT | +$180 | AGAINST ⛔ | +$166 | +$166 | — | — |
| 2026-06-24 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-24 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | +$86 | +$545 |
| 2026-06-24 | MES | SHORT | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-24 | MES | SHORT | $0 | AGAINST ⛔ | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MNQ | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MNQ | LONG | −$220 | WITH | +$600 | +$600 | −$324 | −$324 |
| 2026-06-25 | MNQ | LONG | $0 | N/A | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MES | SHORT | $0 | WITH | $0 | $0 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MES | LONG | −$115 | WITH | −$76 | −$76 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | MES | LONG | $0 | N/A | $0 | $0 | — | — |